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Monday, September 27, 2004

You trust CNN?

Over at Polipundit, there was some concern about a story from CNN that 250,000 new democrats had registered in Ohio, vs 25,000 new Republicans.

I did a little research and posted about this, but I'm going to expand a bit here, because I'm still mad at CNN.

First, some others must remember CNN covering the parades of children's coffins through the streets of Bagdad. At that time it was alleged that some 50,000 children were dying a year as a result of the coalition sanctions. Well, lalala, this intrepid computer programmer was concerned enough to do some quick research at that time. A quick check of population figures and age brackets and a mental calculation proved to me that this could not be true. I will not bore you with the details, since this allegation has now been proven false.

After the invasion of Saddam Hussein's glorious people's republic, the truth regarding that emerged. In addition, remember that one of their editors came out and gave some details of what else they had not reported. Atrocities, that's what.

So these people were knowingly serving as Saddam Hussein's PR bureau, and that at a time when France, among other countries, was trumpeting these figures in the UN as a club to force the US to loosen the restrictions. We know now why, having learned about the Oil For Food scandals. If you haven't picked up on this story, google it. It will make you sick. I can't even bring myself to type in the details of the atrocity the CNN editor discussed, but that also will make you sick.

So, I checked into the Ohio situation. These are talking point numbers, not real ones.

First, in Ohio voters don’t register by party. The numbers being bandied about are based on zipcodes and how people in those zipcodes have historically voted.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/26/politics/campaign/26vote.html

Second, in 2001 and 2002 about 1.2 million voters were dropped from the rolls. There is pretty much an automatic purge function. Since there is a very heavy registration effort in Ohio, the effect is that a lot of people are registered to vote, never do, and are dropped years later, only to be reregistered. As a wild guess, I would suspect that many of these are from lower income areas (a more transitional population and a younger population).

http://moritzlaw.osu.edu/electionlaw/eligibility_rules01.html

In 2002, about 47% of the registered voters actually voted in the governor’s race, which was won by the Republican candidate.

http://serform.sos.state.oh.us/sos/results/index.html

There is a lot of fraud, true. They are investigating it. If you register by mail, you have to show ID the first time you vote, I believe. A lot of the registrations are done for money, and these people will never appear:

http://www.wcpo.com/news/2004/local/09/23/voterfraud.html

http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/summit/1096018375266600.xml

Further comments at Polipundit here.

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