MaxedOutMama
Saturday, October 23, 2004
On the Hawaii poll
Helpful links to Dales Electoral College Hawaii
and to the Honolulu Advertiser, which contracted for this poll with Ward Research. Gerry notes that Ward's results have not favored either party.
But something is truly odd. Go to the Honolulu Advertiser and scroll down to the bottom, which lists responses on various issues. Hardly looks like it favors Bush, does it?
This is derived from the same sample, so it's not a sampling problem. 54% of the respondents said Bush misled the American people about the reasons for going into the war in Iraq, and only 39% think the war in Iraq made America safer. The write-up is confusing in its references to registered voters, because I thought the results reported were for likely voters.. 31 % of those planning to vote for Bush described themselves as Democrats.
"Ward also said many voters of Japanese descent who typically vote for Democrats seem to be undecided. She said she found a similar trend during the 2002 governor's campaign, when Linda Lingle became the first Republican to win in 40 years."
Could this be more evidence of an underlying shift in preference from the Democratic party to Republican? In 2000, Hawaii voted 55% Gore, 37% Bush.
and to the Honolulu Advertiser, which contracted for this poll with Ward Research. Gerry notes that Ward's results have not favored either party.
But something is truly odd. Go to the Honolulu Advertiser and scroll down to the bottom, which lists responses on various issues. Hardly looks like it favors Bush, does it?
This is derived from the same sample, so it's not a sampling problem. 54% of the respondents said Bush misled the American people about the reasons for going into the war in Iraq, and only 39% think the war in Iraq made America safer. The write-up is confusing in its references to registered voters, because I thought the results reported were for likely voters.. 31 % of those planning to vote for Bush described themselves as Democrats.
"Ward also said many voters of Japanese descent who typically vote for Democrats seem to be undecided. She said she found a similar trend during the 2002 governor's campaign, when Linda Lingle became the first Republican to win in 40 years."
Could this be more evidence of an underlying shift in preference from the Democratic party to Republican? In 2000, Hawaii voted 55% Gore, 37% Bush.
