Tuesday, October 04, 2005
Toronto Mystery Illness Update
Public health officials in Toronto say the toll in the outbreak of a mysterious respiratory illness at a seniors' residence has climbed to 10 with the deaths of four more people.That's 84 people infected (with the employee count rising rapidly) and 10 dead in the week since the first symptoms were seen. At least one of the employees was in the hospital, according to Promed, so it is dangerous to more than just elderly people. About half the people who have it have been hospitalized. Now they are saying they may never know what caused this? Hardly reassuring.
Dr. David McKeown says the outbreak has affected 70 residents of the home, along with 12 employees and two visitors.
A total of 40 residents have been admitted to hospital.
Yesterday the count was:
The outbreak has so far affected a total of 68 residents, eight employees and three visitors at Seven Oaks.Maybe they ruled out one of the visitors? Yesterday they said three and today they said two. So in one day there were four more deaths, 4 more employees sick, 2 more residents sick, and 10 more people hospitalized.
· There have been no new cases since yesterday, but there have been two additional deaths, for a total of six in the outbreak.
· The majority of cases are improving but some have worsened as the illness takes it course.
· 30 residents from Seven Oaks have been admitted to hospital.
This incident in Toronto shows just how difficult it could be to detect an H5N1 outbreak early. I am sure it is not H5N1. But it is not innocuous either, and the Canadian authorities are trying - and getting little results.
This goes to show that we can't rely on superficial assumptions about how to deal with H5N1 if it becomes efficient at transmitting from human to human.
I would assume that the new cases are now occurring from secondary infections among the staff, so it is anything but under control. Will their children/families now get ill? Possibly. They are tracing contacts now.
A little dose of reality won't hurt public planning in this country.
I was just listening on the radio about this when I came across yu rpost.
They are doing the best they can, but I doubt it's under control.
New viruses pop up all the time.
Links to this post: