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Wednesday, December 07, 2005

SC&A On Political Reality

Sigmund, Carl and Alfred on the bizarre phenomenon of the national Democratic leadership trying to declare a unilateral defeat in Iraq:
...imagine a weather forecaster that was using 1960's technology and 1960's era understanding of weather and weather forecasting, standing in front of chalkboard (yes, that is how they did it back then), drawing, erasing and making smiley faces along the way.

That particular meteorologist might be regarded as an anachronism from the Middle Ages- quaint, funny and might even be regarded with a touch of nostalgia.

In fact, the mighty 'political analysts' of the left are those 1960 era weather forecasters, more often wrong than they are right.
An interesting analogy. SC&A writes:
Nancy Pelosi and Howard Dean are frauds, because Nancy Pelosi and Howard 'Scream' Dean know damn well we aren't losing the war in Iraq. In fact, they know we are winning that war- and if the war ends in victory, defined by a popularly elected, functioning government in Iraq before the end of Mr Bush's second term, the dems can kiss their chances of regaining the White House and majority in the House of Representatives goodbye.
That's what Chief No-Nag thinks. He's revolted. He told me that the Democratics needed to dump Dean if they wanted to have a chance in 2006. It's a bad time to be a Democrat seeking relection to a national office in Georgia, that's for sure.

As for the American people, several recent polls have showed that they basically agree with Bush's comments on the withdrawal strategy. Here's CBS:
Most Republicans support maintaining or even increasing the number of troops in Iraq, but most Democrats and Independents want U.S. troops to be decreased or withdrawn. Among war opponents, 44 percent want all troops removed now. Just 12 percent of those who think going to war in Iraq was the right thing to do agree.

Six in 10 say they would agree with President Bush’s statement that removing U.S. troops from Iraq now would be "a recipe for disaster."
That's a substantially greater majority than Bush had for his reelection. Only 44% of the people who opposed the war in Iraq think we should withdraw all the troops now. This looks an awful lot like a national consensus for pretty much our current policy to me. It also demonstrates that a lot of the people who opposed the war did so on principle, and now feel a sense of responsibility toward the Iraqis. All in all, these numbers demonstrate that the majority of the American people do think for themselves and do take stands based on principle and not self-interest.

It would seem that the American media's love affair with Cindy Sheehan only created a toxic lack of reality in certain circles. Flying in the face of this national consensus, the Democratic national leadership figures seem to be competing for the honor of who can act the craziest and most self-contradictory in public, followed by claims that they don't mean what they say and in fact have no idea what they want to do. Washington Post:
Several Democrats joined President Bush yesterday in rebuking Dean's declaration to a San Antonio radio station Monday that "the idea that we're going to win the war in Iraq is an idea which is just plain wrong."
...
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Rahm Emanuel (Ill.) and Rep. Steny H. Hoyer (Md.), the second-ranking House Democratic leader, have told colleagues that Pelosi's recent endorsement of a speedy withdrawal, combined with her claim that more than half of House Democrats support her position, could backfire on the party, congressional sources said.
...
"What I want Democrats to be discussing is what the president's policies have led to," Emanuel said. He added that once discussion turns to a formal timeline for troop withdrawals, "the how and when gets buried" and many voters take away only an impression that Democrats favor retreat.
Claiming that the Democratic party backs speedy withdrawal would create the "impression that the Democrats favor retreat." But is Emanuel's position any better? He seems to want to carp and complain without offering an alternative. Are the voters going to go for the "Party of Whiners" brand? I don't think so. I'm beginning to think that the national Democratic leadership have a severe case of Kerry syndrome (a mealy-mouthed inability to formulate a credible and self-consistent position)?
"We have not blown our chance" of winning back the House but "we have jeopardized it," said a top strategist to House Democrats, who requested anonymity to speak freely about influential party leaders. "It raises questions about whether we are capable of seizing political opportunities or whether we cannot help ourselves and blow it" by playing to the liberal base of the party.

Pelosi spokesman Brendan Daly said that while Pelosi estimates more than half of House Democrats favor a speedy withdrawal, she will lobby members in today's meeting against adopting this as a caucus position.
Which pretty much deprives her of the ability to claim that she is making a stand on principle, doesn't it?

If anyone doubts that the Democratic party's problems are at least partly founded in a fawning media engendering an echo of reality reverberating throughout Washington, try reading PollingReport.com. The media has concentrated with a laser-like focus on Bush's declining poll numbers (now heading back up), but they have somehow failed to report the other half of the story, which is that the American public consistently reports itself as being more supportive of Bush than Congress. According to CBS News, 40% approve of Bush. According to Quinnipiac, only 27% approve of Congress.


Comments:
Your quote:

Nancy Pelosi and Howard 'Scream' Dean know damn well we aren't losing the war in Iraq. In fact, they know we are winning that war- and if the war ends in victory, defined by a popularly elected, functioning government in Iraq before the end of Mr Bush's second term, the dems can kiss their chances of regaining the White House and majority in the House of Representatives goodbye.

That is a false premise. The lefties are sure we are losing. It's the old aphorism, "you see what you want to see," especially if you are on a crusade. Every positive event is compromised to the point of negativity; each success is clouded by an American "body count" or a suicide bomber killing another 100 Iraqis; all of this fueled by a media that thinks we are losing and wants us to lose. The only way to prove them wrong is to prove them wrong, and I pray that we win that thing.
 
Since the desperate fusillade is being mounted at the point at which clear progress is occurring, I would say that the leftists (many of those on the left don't share the fanaticism of the "ists") want to be sure that we are losing. Occam's Razor.
 
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