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Sunday, March 21, 2010

Da Treez, Da Treez

I have a bunch of trees that need to come down, and this whole area has massive damage, so I have been mostly dealing with that. I got one down that was slowly tipping over toward the house this morning, to my vast relief. There's another huge one that's already on the garage. Then there are five more at least that need to come down. This are all bucket jobs, and there is a severe shortage of buckets right now.

Anyway, I have not been following the whole health care thing closely, but I still think it will pass because I think they'll promise anyone anything to get the last votes. It's just a question of how much it will cost. Us all. Too bad they don't make the CBO score the vote-buying.

But is there a good place to track the drama?

Note: What they're really passing into law today is the Senate bill. The amendment they vote on doesn't have to be picked up by the Senate, although it might be.. In any case, Betsy Newmark has a nice post about numbers. It's the 2014 on where the fiscal impact hits, What is the next president supposed to do?

A baby born in 1950 will be eligible for Medicare in 2015, and that's what this is really all about, clouded under all the rhetoric about reform. But you can't obfuscate your way into a public consensus.

Comments:
Your heading brought to mind the little saying:

"Don't tax you,
Don't tax me,
Tax the guy behind the tree."

I've been wondering what happens when the "guy behind the tree" drops dead.... I don't think this Administration or this Congress knows how close they're coming to trying to tax a dead guy.

Won't they be just furious when they find the gol-durned stiff stopped paying for their Utopia?
 
What I'm having trouble judging is whether Congress has correctly judged the implementation of this monster. They seem to have attempted to front-load just enough goodies to convince 51% of the people that government-mandated health care is a good idea, while loading the up-front penalties on a non-congruent 40%. They're betting that by the time the rationing sets in, nobody will remember what we had well enough to complain rationally.

That's a pretty fine balancing act--I wonder if they've managed it?
 
A_Nonny_Mouse - well, businesses are still dropping dead everywhere.

This bit about taxing the poor to bolster up the balance-sheets of the rich is not going to be a long-term electoral winner no matter how it's spun.

We've gotten to the point where we are adopting more and more regressive taxation to fund our illusions, and that is pretty much like donning the burning briefs and dancing around screaming "Hah, hah, hah, my nuts are on fire - quail before the spectacle of my terrifyingly agonizing dedication to your defeat!"
 
Neil - the problem is that there are almost no front-loaded goodies here. There are provisions that will directly raise medical costs quite quickly, but there's very little help for the large group of people who are now quite desperate in a very bad economy.

You know, there was a GA governor (Roy Barnes) who was elected with grand schemes and won great applause in the national press, only to go down in complete defeat to Sonny Perdue, who honest-to-God campaigned in a hat decorated with a stuffed rat while giving speeches about King Rat. And all I can say is that if you were a Georgian, you would have voted for Perdue also, because the alternative was so bad.

There are times when one gets so carried away with the rhetoric forming the beautiful narrative that one just loses contact with reality, and this current bill appears one.

Now everyone always knew that no Republican could become GA governor, and in fact, Perdue the stuffed-rat Republican won only because Roy Barnes had convinced 80% of the population that he really did not care about them and in fact would happily bury them in a fire ant mound for acclaim from the national press. The GA Democratic party could have picked another nominee, but they just assumed.

It was the weirdest thing, because at least 70% of the population of GA knew by Barnes' third year that he wasn't going to be reelected. Only the GA Democratic leadership was surprised. None of the rank-and-file Dems were, because far more than half of them voted for the stuffed rat Republican.

Perdue is now on his second term, courtesy one Roy Barnes.

Barnes managed to piss off absolutely everybody. It is hard to get teacher's unions to vote en masse for a Republican, especially in GA, but that's the type of transformative magic wand Roy Barnes was brandishing.

You're looking at the same sort of phenomenon here.
 
There are some interesting early signs of that kind of situation in New Jersey.

Unfortunately, my home state has chosen to embrace NJ-style politics at the very moment that New Jersey is taking its first steps away from them ...
 
Boxer,feinstein and pelosi will all face real challenges.If the republicans put up candidates that are moderate and have some qualifications they may take any or all of those seats.
 
Tom - just a bit amused here. Think back on the 2005 Congress. And now this one.

Just what ARE reasonable qualifications these days?

I know I would like to hold out for a promise that a Critter would actually read the legislation before voting, but what else?
 
Hmmm. I'll hold out for "actually paid their taxes due" and "can balance a checkbook". If they can't do that much, how can we expect that they will ever balance the republic's books?
 
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