Wednesday, June 08, 2011
BP Statistical Review of World Energy!!
Of course this only covers through 2010, but at least 2010 looked less dismal than 2009, which I did not enjoy reading at all.
= Huddled in dark, shivering.
If we're not going to do nuclear (and it's apparent we aren't) and we're not going to do oil (and we are avoiding it) and we shut down coal-sourced electricity, those electric cars are going to be very expensive to run.
Maybe I'd better keep my nose to the grindstone.
I do not share, btw, the generalized malaise over energy. I think new engines, changes in regulation to allow the more efficient diesel engines in the US, an eventual change in regulations to allow more domestic oil production - especially shale, perhaps alternate sources such as Joule is working on, and so forth will make energy less of a constraining factor in ten years and definitely less in 15 years.
But now it is a reality, and I am not sure the current push to renewables is at all realistic. For example, I am pretty sure Germany has worked itself into a real structural problem.
The thing is it is going to take at least 12 years to get a more fuel efficient fleet and, if the pressure to continue to get more efficient continues, the process will begin all over again.
I notice that the U.S. is increasing it's fuel usage at only about 2% per year. If we continue to keep it that low and increase our production here in North America, prices might stay relatively affordable.
A few places where there is a lot of oil yet to be discovered - Iraq, Iran, Africa, Russia, China, and the U.S. It turns out Israel has a huge off shore natural gas field that, knowing the Israelis penchant for technology, could hasten the technology for natural gas fueled vehicles of all types.
My word is ackbache. Igpay atinlay for backache?
Of course, I'll update my bicycle, just in case :)
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