Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Maybe It Is 3 AM
There would be widespread and enthusiastic support in the Chinese population for a military confrontation with Japan at this time. I don't believe the Chinese government wants shooting, but it does need to win this one for the popular-approval team.
China has been through its Hjalmar Schacht period, and now faces the reckoning. The reckoning is causing a crisis of confidence in the Chinese public, and subways ain't gonna do it. Support for the Chinese government has been eroded by the impact of the slowly bursting bubble and bridges and railroads that fail less than two years after they are built.
There is also a definite plutocracy which is strongly allied to party families, so the Chinese have evolved their own Junker system.
I am not sure the Japanese will back down.
The consequences of China winning a shoot-out around the Senkakus are dire, but in the future. I'm wondering what happens if they lose one--does the party then lose the Mandate of Heaven?
Never fear! I'm sure Congress can come up with a reason to create more T-bills. The Capitol bidets probably need an overhaul, or something.
- - - - -
and per Zero Hedge
some Chinese entities had been using empty warehouses filled with non-existent steel as "collateral" for loans (and sometimes the "nothing" was used as collateral for many different loans).
So I'm guessing the Chinese government is hurriedly inventing a "Quick! Look over there! Focus on THAT!!!" to distract from the what- where- how- why- when- and WHO of the financial fubar that's developing.
Not a problem!
QOE - Infinity for the win!
Given that public sentiment in China and Japan is running ahead of the leadership, this has the potential to blow up very ugly very fast.
However, 3 AM on the Sino-Japanese borders is somewhat significant than it would be in many other places. We are treaty-bound to Japan, and the size and significance of these economies in the global markets makes it even more of an issue. And they are capable of doing severe damage.
I agree - it is from the bottom up, which is what makes it so ominous.
Links to this post: